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The Outlook for Commercial Loan Modifications in 2009

. Nearly $73 billion worth of commercial real estate loans are in some level of financial distress
. Credit Markets Remain Frozen
. Slashing Rents, Incentive offerings, Demanding Concessions
. Empty storefronts, Office buildings and Warehouse Space.
. The losses from commercial real estate loans could hit $53 billion, or 8.5 percent of their overall loan losses over the next two years.
. Apartment loans are expected to rise further as unemployment climbs, leaving landlords struggling to fill vacancies and make their mortgage payments.
. Delinquency rates and defaults on office and retail buildings and hotels have more than doubled in just six months.
. For apartments and industrial buildings, the rates have increased more than 80 percent
. Overall, some $270.5 billion commercial property loans are expected to come due this year alone
. And it’s likely many borrowers won’t be able to refinance¡

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